Diplomacy Outlook 2025 - A Report

2025 sets the stage to address various challenges with shifting power dynamics, fragmented alliances, unresolved conflicts, and escalating economic vulnerabilities. The geopolitical power dynamics of Africa remain under serious threat.

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The withdrawal of Mali, Burkina Faso, and Niger from the Western African Economic Bloc (ECOWAS) and their refusal to transition back to constitutional rule initiates an informal Alliance of Sahel States. In the Horn of Africa, Proxy confrontations may escalate with a developing Trilateral Alignment between Somalia, Eritrea and Egypt to counter Ethiopia’s increasing influence over the Red Sea.

Security challenges stretch in the Indo-Pacific as India advances its hypersonic defence systems, North Korea strengthens its strategic alliance with Russia and tensions in the Taiwan Strait continue to put global trade in a challenging position.

North America’s geopolitical landscape depends on three critical elections– the 2024 United States Presidential election, the 2025 Canadian Federal election, and the 2024 Mexican General election. The Bi-Oceanic Corridor, set for completion in 2025 along with the EU-MERCOSUR Agreement, will likely transform logistics and boost trade.

Regional foreign policies may reshape Venezuela’s future under Trump’s presidency. The Middle East witnesses increasing tensions between Israel and Lebanon amidst the ongoing Israel-Hamas conflict, geography and resources may play a strategic role in fostering peace. The climate emergency, the unending war in Ukraine, and Trump’s plan to impose tariffs put the EU in a conundrum.

As these geopolitical developments unfold, the involvement of national and regional governments, multilateral organisations, private entities, humanitarian organisations and research and development institutions becomes fundamental in shaping outcomes and addressing challenges.

Democratic governance will ensure accountability and inclusivity. For the Sahel region, the execution of the Algiers Accords (2015), constructive dialogue, military professionalism and diplomatic efforts in Syria, Yemen and Libya could foster political stability. Arms control and non-proliferation remain the main priority in the Indo-Pacific.

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For all official and academic purposes, use the following as a citation, which follows the Chicago Manual Style.

Abhinav Poludasu, Agrima Kushwaha, Astitva Gupta, Diptisikha Sahu,

Harjeet Singh, Manav Thakrar, and Shaina Arora

“Diplomacy Outlook 2025”

THE GEOSTRATA, June 11, 2025.

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